Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 77898.828076 82291.541566 86688.056411 91415.412866 96351.583640 101350.558645 106792.666910
2025-12-14 70312.441627 76971.981358 83827.639407 91403.059456 99529.480104 107975.535842 117407.716010
2025-12-21 65093.670654 73302.236295 81942.295669 91694.838837 102376.937729 113701.306868 126594.052854
2025-12-28 61880.262056 71339.225328 81479.851931 93127.566614 106103.215487 120080.364386 136240.521636
2026-01-04 59039.652464 69485.779790 80866.352933 94138.200354 109140.895888 125524.396106 144717.373892
2026-01-11 56421.210107 67662.704927 80089.457727 94780.498365 111605.869104 130204.693091 152247.366219
2026-01-18 53841.249074 65709.003626 79006.765484 94926.963069 113380.148243 134006.289366 158711.031622
2026-01-25 51601.333423 64013.945856 78098.605290 95158.946210 115153.502863 137731.367145 165035.515019
2026-02-01 49402.962207 62251.299289 77006.296264 95077.307795 116478.114770 140875.916345 170647.611632
2026-02-08 47856.260362 61181.910192 76655.716676 95800.892555 118691.145087 145015.378890 177401.464855
2026-02-15 46033.596908 59695.829583 75733.980559 95775.496383 119960.684338 148009.765949 182791.060061
2026-02-22 45059.735618 59194.845615 75952.675316 97082.281569 122794.176651 152840.234499 190361.174365
2026-03-01 43877.931407 58405.232875 75800.964459 97934.250886 125094.148956 157073.404485 197290.099170
2026-03-08 42351.386746 57129.441178 75005.055617 97957.012135 126359.163067 160054.927574 202727.889933
2026-03-15 41065.972197 56107.981623 74479.525383 98273.845365 127954.171530 163419.088984 208629.933053
2026-03-22 40435.134708 55890.993412 74933.959232 99791.833380 131022.029662 168578.930349 216739.954839
2026-03-29 39638.631346 55426.605212 75048.598199 100861.605127 133522.024236 173047.299806 224026.570775
2026-04-05 38712.783610 54758.786733 74874.604499 101541.259446 135518.340304 176893.093280 230561.903503
2026-04-12 37605.543530 53814.614534 74312.610708 101696.235791 136831.640433 179882.762255 236042.750679
2026-04-19 36594.713119 52964.631952 73842.052780 101941.667020 138239.979927 182982.052984 241665.735782
2026-04-26 35494.169773 51959.532671 73137.604635 101855.299414 139202.196510 185510.130183 246575.133488
2026-05-03 34797.711600 51477.490596 73099.592288 102620.783675 141249.402162 189406.024198 253220.486653
2026-05-10 33814.206095 50573.566618 72476.302780 102593.917987 142254.576284 191974.297762 258193.170321